Monday, April 2, 2007

THE PICKS NL CENTRAL

MLB 2007
NL Central
  1. Cardinals 85
  2. Astros 83
  3. Cubs 83
  4. Brewers 83
  5. Pirates 76
  6. Reds 76

Much like last season, all 6 clubs are mediocre. The division is entirely up in the air. The 4 top teams have a chance, plus the bottom 2 could finish .500 in this weak division. The Cards get the nod because of a decent lineup and a run-of-the-mill staff. They are the safe bet but I put their chances on winning the division at 50%. The Astros have a decent lineup and staff. Lidge is questionable as the closer and the team will rely on Oswalt and Jennings to carry a suspect rotation. If Williams can perform, and I know he will, the club could notch 84-88 wins and overtake the Cards. The Cubs have a threatening lineup but weak a staff outside of Zambrano. Offense usually caves to great pitching so expect the Cubs to be around .500. The Brewers are the feel good pick. Most experts take a chance picking them in a sub par division. The staff has average stuff and the pen' looks solid, guaranteeing them 78-84 wins. The lineup is too young and dubious to haunt the NL's arms. The Pirates lack offense but has a staff that could be great in two years. The Pirates are attempting to copy the recent Tigers system that went from cellar dweller to pennant winners in a short but difficult span. The Reds should hit, but the staff as a whole won't cut it. 80 wins is attainable, but that's likely stretch. But in this division, a hot September may be all that's needed to reach the playoffs.

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